Chapter 14: Economic Instability
Chapter 14 deals with several problems that have plagued the
United States economy: business cycles, unemployment, inflation,
and poverty.
Section 1 discusses business fluctuations and cycles. The
Great Depression of the 1930s was the worst economic decline
in United States history. The economy has been much more stable
since World War II with a series of short, mild recessions.
While seemingly unavoidable, business cycles can be anticipated
with tools such as econometric models and statistical series
such as the index of leading indicators.
Section
2 deals with unemployment. Every month, the Census Bureau
identifies unemployed persons. The number of
unemployed is then divided by the civilian labor force to
find the unemployment rate. The unemployment rate is comprehensive,
but does not count the dropouts, nor does it distinguish between
full- and part-time employment. The kinds of unemployment
include frictional, structural, cyclical, seasonal, and technological
unemployment.
Section
3 explains how the price level is measured with various price
indices. The change in the price level is the inflation rate,
which is usually expressed in terms of percentage changes.
Creeping inflation, galloping inflation, and hyperinflation
are terms used to describe the severity of inflation. Generous
credit conditions and excessive growth of the money supply
are underlying causes of inflation. When these conditions
are present, various kinds of inflationincluding demand-pull,
deficit spending, cost-push, and wage-price spiralcan take
place.
Section
4 examines the distribution of income that has become less
equal over time. A number of factors account for the unequal
distribution of income, including education, wealth, discrimination,
ability, and monopoly power. Poverty, a relative measure determined
by comparing the amount of money income earned by families
to the poverty guidelines, is also examined. Over the years,
various antipoverty programsincluding the Earned Income Tax
Credit (EITC), negative income tax, enterprise zones, and
workfarehave been introduced to help those in the lowest
income levels.
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