Chapter 14: Economic
Instability Chapter
14 deals with several problems that have plagued the United
States economy: business cycles, unemployment, inflation,
and poverty.
Section 1 discusses business fluctuations
and cycles. The Great Depression of the 1930s was the worst
economic decline in United States history. The economy has
been much more stable since World War II with a series of
short, mild recessions. While seemingly unavoidable, business
cycles can be anticipated with tools such as econometric models
and statistical series such as the index of leading indicators.
Section 2 deals with unemployment. Every
month, the Census Bureau identifies unemployed persons. The
number of unemployed is then divided by the civilian labor
force to find the unemployment rate. The unemployment rate
is comprehensive, but does not count the dropouts, nor does
it distinguish between full- and part-time employment. The
kinds of unemployment include frictional, structural, cyclical,
seasonal, and technological unemployment.
Section 3 explains how the price level
is measured with various price indices. The change in the
price level is the inflation rate, which is usually expressed
in terms of percentage changes. Creeping inflation, galloping
inflation, and hyperinflation are terms used to describe the
severity of inflation. Generous credit conditions and excessive
growth of the money supply are underlying causes of inflation.
When these conditions are present, various kinds of inflationincluding
demand-pull, deficit spending, cost-push, and wage-price spiralcan
take place.
Section 4 examines the distribution
of income that has become less equal over time. A number of
factors account for the unequal distribution of income, including
education, wealth, discrimination, ability, and monopoly power.
Poverty, a relative measure determined by comparing the amount
of money income earned by families to the poverty guidelines,
is also examined. Over the years, various antipoverty programsincluding
the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), negative income tax,
enterprise zones, and workfarehave been introduced to
help those in the lowest income levels.
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